Sportmonks model predictionconfidence: highpendingupdates until kick-off

Real Madrid — win

La Liga · Matchday 14 · Sat, 28 Nov at 23:00 MSK · match page →

PickHome · home winProbability72%Odds · reference1.15

Published yesterday at 22:35 · probability source: Sportmonks · permalink: sportstats.ru/predictions/2026-11-29-real-madrid-deportivo-alaves

1 72%X 18%2 10%

MODEL VS MARKET

Model · Home: 72%
Market without margin: 82%
Difference: −10 pp

Probabilities are calculated by the model of the data provider, Sportmonks. A prediction is an estimate of the chances, not a guarantee: an event with a 70% probability fails to happen in roughly three matches out of ten.

After the match

pending

The outcome will appear after the final whistle: the prediction is checked against the score automatically.