Sportmonks model predictionconfidence: mediumpendingupdates until kick-off

Union Saint-Gilloise — win

Europa League · Matchday 5 · Thu, 26 Nov at 20:45 MSK · match page →

PickHome · home winProbability59%Odds · reference1.40

Published yesterday at 22:35 · probability source: Sportmonks · permalink: sportstats.ru/predictions/2026-11-26-yunion-sen-zhiluaz-lekh-poznan

1 59%X 23%2 18%

MODEL VS MARKET

Model · Home: 59%
Market without margin: 67%
Difference: −8 pp

Probabilities are calculated by the model of the data provider, Sportmonks. A prediction is an estimate of the chances, not a guarantee: an event with a 70% probability fails to happen in roughly three matches out of ten.

After the match

pending

The outcome will appear after the final whistle: the prediction is checked against the score automatically.