Sportmonks model predictionconfidence: highpendingupdates until kick-off

Ajax — win

Europa Conference League · Matchday 4 · Thu, 26 Nov at 20:45 MSK · match page →

PickHome · home winProbability67%Odds · reference1.25

Published yesterday at 22:35 · probability source: Sportmonks · permalink: sportstats.ru/predictions/2026-11-26-ayaks-tun

1 67%X 17%2 16%

MODEL VS MARKET

Model · Home: 67%
Market without margin: 76%
Difference: −9 pp

Probabilities are calculated by the model of the data provider, Sportmonks. A prediction is an estimate of the chances, not a guarantee: an event with a 70% probability fails to happen in roughly three matches out of ten.

After the match

pending

The outcome will appear after the final whistle: the prediction is checked against the score automatically.