Sportmonks model predictionconfidence: mediumpendingupdates until kick-off

Real Madrid — win

Champions League · Matchday 5 · Tue, 24 Nov at 23:00 MSK · match page →

PickHome · home winProbability57%Odds · reference1.18

Published yesterday at 22:35 · probability source: Sportmonks · permalink: sportstats.ru/predictions/2026-11-24-real-madrid-psv

1 57%X 20%2 23%

MODEL VS MARKET

Model · Home: 57%
Market without margin: 79%
Difference: −22 pp

Probabilities are calculated by the model of the data provider, Sportmonks. A prediction is an estimate of the chances, not a guarantee: an event with a 70% probability fails to happen in roughly three matches out of ten.

After the match

pending

The outcome will appear after the final whistle: the prediction is checked against the score automatically.