Sportmonks model predictionconfidence: mediumpendingupdates until kick-off

Manchester City — win

Champions League · Matchday 5 · Tue, 24 Nov at 23:00 MSK · match page →

PickHome · home winProbability54%Odds · reference1.25

Published yesterday at 22:35 · probability source: Sportmonks · permalink: sportstats.ru/predictions/2026-11-24-manchester-siti-napoli

1 54%X 22%2 24%

MODEL VS MARKET

Model · Home: 54%
Market without margin: 75%
Difference: −21 pp

Probabilities are calculated by the model of the data provider, Sportmonks. A prediction is an estimate of the chances, not a guarantee: an event with a 70% probability fails to happen in roughly three matches out of ten.

After the match

pending

The outcome will appear after the final whistle: the prediction is checked against the score automatically.