Sportmonks model predictionconfidence: mediumpendingupdates until kick-off

Bayer 04 Leverkusen — win

Bundesliga · Matchday 10 · Sat, 21 Nov at 17:30 MSK · match page →

PickHome · home winProbability59%Odds · reference1.26

Published yesterday at 22:35 · probability source: Sportmonks · permalink: sportstats.ru/predictions/2026-11-21-bayer-04-leverkuzen-paderborn

1 59%X 23%2 18%

MODEL VS MARKET

Model · Home: 59%
Market without margin: 75%
Difference: −16 pp

Probabilities are calculated by the model of the data provider, Sportmonks. A prediction is an estimate of the chances, not a guarantee: an event with a 70% probability fails to happen in roughly three matches out of ten.

After the match

pending

The outcome will appear after the final whistle: the prediction is checked against the score automatically.